Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1.331421 1.509824 1.705007 1.934678 2.197898 2.490558 2.841198
2025-11-16 1.050025 1.280407 1.552680 1.899283 2.330330 2.850756 3.529758
2025-11-23 0.855869 1.108098 1.425890 1.858010 2.433877 3.179903 4.227706
2025-11-30 0.760998 1.038166 1.407527 1.939927 2.694574 3.736194 5.300592
2025-12-07 0.674731 0.963143 1.366698 1.978897 2.895244 4.233491 6.368168
2025-12-14 0.591117 0.877770 1.296341 1.960561 3.003968 4.606512 7.305196
2025-12-21 0.512530 0.787954 1.205539 1.895200 3.026288 4.843902 8.058660
2025-12-28 0.479610 0.762603 1.207661 1.972004 3.279907 5.477946 9.560444
2026-01-04 0.449685 0.737574 1.205915 2.040020 3.525021 6.127996 11.191645
2026-01-11 0.418668 0.706566 1.189740 2.079697 3.723643 6.720883 12.811062
2026-01-18 0.389779 0.675514 1.169206 2.107677 3.902519 7.299106 14.493122
2026-01-25 0.351693 0.623997 1.106772 2.050638 3.912758 7.556631 15.569235
2026-02-01 0.310178 0.562969 1.022476 1.945714 3.823190 7.619623 16.281767
2026-02-08 0.284283 0.528119 0.982858 1.922617 3.894640 8.020671 17.805603
2026-02-15 0.259832 0.493409 0.939707 1.887012 3.935240 8.362976 19.261050
2026-02-22 0.251588 0.489198 0.955253 1.973604 4.248381 9.344726 22.412052
2026-03-01 0.239196 0.475352 0.949888 2.015009 4.467489 10.148477 25.285503
2026-03-08 0.222275 0.450491 0.919195 1.997168 4.548661 10.642067 27.461299
2026-03-15 0.202739 0.418234 0.869618 1.930914 4.506681 10.831575 28.863673
2026-03-22 0.197232 0.415266 0.882491 2.009496 4.825690 11.969395 33.124259
2026-03-29 0.191247 0.410621 0.891107 2.079018 5.132316 13.125776 37.691080
2026-04-05 0.183471 0.401200 0.887953 2.119570 5.370584 14.139927 42.058005
2026-04-12 0.175422 0.390360 0.880383 2.148158 5.581480 15.114086 46.520784